Forex world

November 15, 2022

NZDUSD Analysis: Upside towards 0.6200

A recovery in positive market sentiment has underpinned the Kiwi bulls.

The asset has built an auction profile above the breakout area of the Rising Channel formation.

A bullish range shift by the RSI (14) adds to the upside filters.

The NZDUSD pair has refreshed its day’s high at 0.6119 as the risk-on impulse has regained traction. A smart recovery in the S&P500 futures after selling pressure on Monday has infused fresh blood into the risk-perceived assets.

The US dollar index (DXY) has slipped sharply after a long struggle around the immediate hurdle of 107.00 in Asia. Meanwhile, 10-year US Treasury yields are holding around 3.88% despite a decline in expectations of a bigger rate hike continuation by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

On a four-hour scale, the asset has built an auction profile above the Rising Channel formation. The upper portion of the chart pattern is placed from October 12 high at 0.5716 while the lower portion is plotted from October 13 low at 0.5512. The sustainability of the pair at elevated levels after a channel breakout indicates that kiwi bulls are extremely solid.

Meanwhile, the advancing 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6060, dictates that the upside trend is firmer.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which signals that the upside momentum is intact.

Going forward, a break above Friday’s high at 0.6130 will drive the asset towards the round-level hurdle at 0.6200, followed by August 25 high at 0.6251.

On the contrary, a downside move below November 7 low at 0.5863 will put the Greenback bulls into the driving seat and will drag the asset toward the round-level support of 0.5800. A slippage below the latter will open room for more downside toward November 3 low at 0.5741.

NZDUSD four-hour chart

No comments:

Post a Comment